Red-Ink Ruin

The lead article in today’s New York Times is a news analysis titled, “A Red-Ink Decade.” It describes the limited options for future Presidents in light of the size of the deficit and the necessity to address it.

Apparently, President Obama’s projections call for significant deficits for the next ten years. This makes it highly unlikely that future Presidents will have the opportunity for any domestic programs. It is compared in the article to homeowners whose mortgage is greater than the value of the house; in other words, the American government is “under water.”

The article also makes several astute political observations including the unwillingness of the Republicans to raise taxes and the unwillingness of the Democrats to cut programs, especially Social Security. In light of these limitations, the article paints a very pessimistic picture of their implications.

The article concludes on a somewhat optimistic note, citing Stein’s law. “If a trend cannot continue, it will stop.” In fact, the addressing of the problem on the front page of The New York Times means that even a so-called liberal newspaper is increasing awareness of the situation.

Ideally, President Obama will stimulate the economy in the short run, boosting jobs, and therefore revenue, and will ride that additional revenue to reduce the deficit. Sounds easy on paper …